DONDENA Seminar - UgoFilippo Basellini

You may follow the seminar at the following link.

“From Trends to Mechanisms: A Theory-Informed Framework for Mortality Forecasting” 

SPEAKER: UgoFilippo Basellini (MPIDR).

ABSTRACT:

Recent slowdowns in life expectancy improvements have challenged the reliability of widely used methods to forecast mortality. This talk reviews the current state of the art and presents my ERC-funded research programme, which develops a theory-informed framework that shifts mortality forecasting from extrapolating trends to modelling underlying mechanisms.
 

BIO: 

Ugofilippo Basellini is a research scientist in the Laboratory of Population Dynamics and Sustainable Well-Being at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. His main research interests are related to statistical demography, with a particular focus on mortality modelling and forecasting, lifespan inequality and formal demographic methods for the study of mortality.