Working papers results

2026 - n° 166 23/03/2026

As climate change alters the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events worldwide, mortality risks vary substantially across regions and populations. Identifying vulnerable groups is therefore essential. However, existing reviews remain fragmented, typically focusing on single hazards, primarily temperature, without integrating evidence across multiple weather extreme events or systematically examining spatial and sociodemographic heterogeneity. This systematic review addresses this gap to inform evidence-based assumptions for future population projections under climate change. Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, we synthesized global evidence on heterogeneity in mortality risks associated with climate extremes. A total of 246 studies from Web of Science and Scopus were included, comprising 211 on temperature-related mortality and 35 on natural hazard-related mortality. The findings show that climate-related mortality is unevenly distributed and shaped by demographic, socioeconomic, geographic, and climatic factors. Females, older adults, and individuals with lower education or socioeconomic status consistently face higher mortality risks related to extreme temperatures and natural hazards. Cold exposure remains the dominant global contributor to temperature-related mortality, although heat-related risks are increasing with rising global temperatures. Spatial patterns also vary across regions and climate zones: temperate regions show stronger cold effects, while tropical regions face increasing risks from hydrometeorological hazards such as storms. Despite these insights, major research gaps remain, particularly in Africa and in studies integrating demographic and socioeconomic vulnerabilities in natural hazard-related mortality.

Sirinya Kaikeaw, William Kemp, Rosanna Gualdi, Raya Muttarak
Keywords: Climate extremes, Mortality, Natural hazards, Temperature, Systematic review
2026 - n° 165 09/03/2026

Students’ university experience includes both academic and non-academic outcomes, which are shaped by the educational environment in which students interact. We refer to this environment as university climate and measure it along three dimensions: conformity to masculinity-related attitudes and perceptions, the perceived academic impact of mental health (worry and anxiety), and classroom interactions. Using administrative records combined with original survey data, and exploiting the random assignment of students to teaching classes within degree programs at an Italian university, we identify the causal effect of peer gender composition on university climate and academic performance. Greater exposure to female peers reduces conformity to masculinity-related attitudes, lowers the perceived academic impact of mental health, fosters more collaborative classroom interactions, and increases aca demic performance. These effects are observed for both male and female students. Our findings provide causal evidence that peer gender composition influences multiple dimensions of university climate beyond academic achievement alone.

Silvia Griselda, Paola Profeta, Giulia Savio
Keywords: Gender, Education, Mental health, Masculinity attitudes, Classroom interactions, Academic performance, University climate.
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